Thursday, July 13, 2017

NL North Preview: Season 26

This entry marks the second edition of a series of previews by division for the upcoming 24th season of Upper Deck.  A run down of each team will be followed by an overall analysis of the division.  Today, we continue by discussing the NL North.




In season 26, the Detroit Tigers baseball club (formerly the Chicago Old Style) will take the direction of just the second GM in franchise history after a change this offseason.  In season 25, the team had their third consecutive losing season, though 77-85 was good enough to tie for first in the NL North despite middling offense, defense, and pitching.

The Tigers’ new GM, mikesons1973, had no problem getting started quickly, and without the sentimentality of which any longtime owner might be guilty.  Future Hall of Fame first baseman and longtime Old Style Orber Gomez (709 HR over 16+ seasons) was not re-signed, as with starters Octavio Castillo (241 career wins) and Junior Leroux, a reliable starter who underwent arm surgery last season.  Defensive-minded shortstop Chico Marmol was also let go.

Mikesons1973 made some big plays to fill such big holes, however.  A couple of non-tenders, SS Chad Tatum and CF Enerio de los Santos, offer defense and offensive upgrades over the position in the previous season.  Starter Gavin Jackson was brought in on a five-year deal guaranteeing at least $32.25M, and, in another big splash, All-Star 2B Cyrus Barrett was acquired for a pair of prospects.




The Monarchs finished in third place with just 67 wins in season 25, the club’s thirteenth consecutive losing season.  Despite an offense and pitching staff that rated as only slightly below average, Kansas City fielded the league’s worst defense (.969 fielding percentage).  However, longtime GM urbanwarrior made some big plays this offseason in the hopes of cashing in on a weak division.

First, urbanwarrior participated in a blockbuster trade with the Richmond Brewers, sending workhorse starter Kareem Woodson (220+ IP in season 25), longtime 3B Paul Nakano, and starting 2B Johnnie Palmer to the Brewers for All-Star RF Shaggy Eickhoff and one of the best offensive shortstops in the league in Charlie Barry, vastly improving the club’s offensive prowess.

The club also signed starters Brett Lambert and Aneury Pascual to the rotation while also cutting ties with longtime Monarch SP Ben Thomas.  Combine the offseason’s moves with ace SP Antone Gardner and SP Mel Valentin and Kansas City’s prospects are looking much better than last seasons.




On the strength of two consecutive 77-win seasons, the Syndicate are back-to-back NL North division champions, having made the playoffs in each of the last two seasons.  That said, Syracuse has not advanced to the National League Championship Series since season 13, and Iongtime GM hatton98 made some big moves this offseason to take his club to the next level.

After letting workhorse Yorman Velasquez and reliever Livan Gutierrez walk, hatton98 made huge strides not only to replace their productivity, but to exceed it.  In separate deals, he parted with a pair of nice prospects, including 1B Wilt Schimpf, to acquire All-Star SP Carlos Beltre and elite RP Paul Stevens from Richmond and Oklahoma City, respectively.

Additionally, Syracuse added 3B Cesar Moraga, a defensively versatile player with some pop, and catcher Ted Carpenter to split time behind the dish.  And last but not least, 2B Reymond Mota was signed to a five-year extension, guaranteeing that the Silver Slugger second baseman will be a Syndicate for years to come.




In season 25, a below average offense and pitching staff doomed the Toronto franchise, then located in Dover, to a last place finish as they notched just 65 wins.  In fact, the Blue Jays club has not had a winning season since season 18, and as such are rather far along in their rebuilding efforts.

New GM ghutton9 stayed the course this offseason, cutting ties with arbitration-eligible starter Wellington Cervantes, as well as letting a trio of old, declining starters whose contributions likely scored negative WAR figures in season 25.  The most notable transactions included the signings of sometimes-starters, sometimes-relievers Geoff Berken and Dummy Power to eat innings.

The most notable players in the organization that should give the organization hope are SPs Denzel Charleston, who just notched his first big league season, and prospects Yangervis Lucano, and Joey Sappelt, both of whom were drafted highly within the past few seasons.  Also close to the bigs is prospect 2B Terry Kickham, who has All-Star potential.  Ghutton9’s first pick to continue the strong drafting efforts will be the third overall pick in this season’s draft.

NL North Analysis

Once again, the NL North was easily last season’s worst division in the league, with all four teams finishing with between 65 and 77 wins.  Despite that, the Tigers and the Syndicate, who tied atop the division in season 25, both had very aggressive offseasons, hoping to capitalize on the division’s overall weakness and take first place by storm.  Not to be outdone, however, Kansas City made some aggressive moves this offseason, as well.  Despite having more ground to make up to win the division than Detroit and Syracuse, their hugely improved offense should allow them to compete

It is anybody’s guess who might come away with the division, although Toronto would be a surprise pick to come away with it.  After the only quiet offseason in the division and a rebuild that is quite far along, the most pressing question for the Blue Jays management may be whether or not to cash in on star LF Eduardo Butera’s value by trading him in advance of this season’s deadline, thus acquiring more value for future seasons.

Wednesday, July 12, 2017

AL North Preview: Season 26

This entry marks the first edition of a series of previews by division for the upcoming 26th season of Upper Deck.  A run down of each team will be followed by an overall analysis of the division.  Today, we will begin with the reigning champion New Britain Rock Cats’ AL North.




What do you get when you add together an offense, a pitching staff, and a defense that, by many metrics, rate as roughly average?  Last season, the Rock Cats put that all together and won their second World Series in just four seasons.  All of this came despite posting just 87 wins - good for seventh best in the AL and worse than two teams that did not make the postseason.

The World Series win was also somewhat surprising in the context of the 73-89 record the club posted just a season prior.  That losing season was New Britain’s first since season 16 and may have signaled a reboot for many franchises, though longtime general manager dflom2008 evidently made the right moves to right the ship.  As a result, it should be no surprise to see dflom2008 dealing again this offseason.

The club lost reliever Felipe Guillen, five-time Gold Glove shortstop Aubrey Kelly, and starters Geraldo Fernandez and Don Lo - a season 25 midseason acquisition - to free agency.  To shore up some holes, also including SP Alex Aceves, who underwent two elbow surgeries last season and whose career has been permanently altered, dflom2008 cashed in on star CF Jolbert Cabrera to Philadelphia for starter Von Boucher, rookie left fielder Rob Diaz, and a prospect.

The club also signed starters Edgard Franco and Jamie Fulchino to pick up the rest of the slack in the rotation, primarily defensive shortstops Chico Marmol and Wilkin Diaz to replace Kelly, a and defensive centerfielder with a rather light stick in Benito Ordaz.




Since a fairly steady ten-season stretch (‘13-’22) that saw the Terriers win at least 76 games nine times, and at least 86 four times, Pawtucket has descended into sixty-win territory in each of the past three seasons.  Thus, mired in a rebuild, the obvious move for longtime GM burk was to stay the course rather than make a big play or two in free agency or in the trade market.

Longtime starter Juan Prieto was allowed to walk during free agency, and arbitration eligible fellas in Huston Diaz, Julio Jose, and Eduardo Nova were released rather than earning their payday from Pawtucket.  Replacing some of those men on the roster include free agents reliever Rick Holder and catcher Benito Andujar, as well as a few Rule 5 draft picks.
Of more interest to fans of the Terriers will be the progress of the rebuild.  Young 2B Carl Clark has performed well in his limited big league duty, having made two All Star teams and won a Gold Glove and a Silver Slugger in just his first two seasons. Power-hitting C/DH Kendry Gandarilla has also surpassed expectations in his first ML experience.

Burk’s drafting ability and his eye for the international market have also led to several other notable prospects that are sure to turn the Terriers’ tide, including 2B Jerome Espy, RP Enerio Lecuona, SP Orlando Miro, 2B Henry Pavano, SP Juan James, and future All-Star Hong-Chih Jung.




Rochester, like Pawtucket, continues their rebuilding efforts heading into season 26.  For the fourth straight season, the club finished in the cellar, notching just 54 wins.  The club’s batting and fielding both ranked near the bottom, while their pitching staff recorded the highest earned run average of any club in the league.

Longtime GM jwperry allowed left fielder Chad Stahl, who had spent his entire professional career with the Redwings, to walk during free agency.  He also allowed reliever Jamie Fulchino to leave.  The players were replaced by starters Mark Matsui and Ed Croushore, now in his second stint in Rochester.  Additionally, a couple of Rule 5 draft picks, including center fielder Max Gonzalez, look to contribute to the Redwings this season.

In the meantime, jwperry’s $20 million man, SP Jose James, signed in season 25, is set to report to Low A ball with RP Wandy Aceves, signed internationally a season prior.  Additionally, starter Bill Brandt, relievers Orber Nieves and Osvaldo Aguilar, and former first overall draft pick SS Billy Washington highlight jwperry’s strong efforts to rebuild the Redwings into a contender once again.




Under the tutelage of their former owner and GM, the Seattle Seawolves, then located in Sioux City, were twice division champs and won their own World Series just a season ago.  Last season’s club had a top-five defense and pitching staff to go with an above average offense, despite posting just 82 wins and missing out on the postseason.

Heading into the offseason, newly introduced CCAsleson’s work was cut out for him.  Faced with the decision to dive headfirst aggressively back into contention or to dive headfirst into a rebuild, CCAsleson chose the latter.  After declining the option on starter Bert Bechler, he allowed Domingo Amaro, Luis Mantalban, and Fausto Siqueiros to depart via free agency.

He traded for defensive-minded center fielder Chin-Lung Satou, signed aging reliever Bill Martin, and made a flurry of waiver claims to fill out the Seawolves’ roster.  Thanks to the aggressive style of the previous ownership group, the Seawolves have very little in the way of recent draftees or international signees that may contribute quickly to a rebuilt roster.  However, the Seawolves do hold four of the first 53 picks in the upcoming amateur draft.

AL North Analysis

Based on the moves that were made this offseason, Pawtucket and Rochester may once again duke it out for the cellar in one of the weaker divisions across the league.  Despite that, there appears to be more light than tunnel remaining in both teams’ respective rebuilds.  Given the number of high quality prospects in the Pawtucket organization, the Terriers may rise from the ashes first, but Rochester will surely be right behind them when both turn the corner in a season or two.

Of last season’s top two finishers, the Seawolves appear headed for a rebuild of their own, though they are in for a long ride as they begin their journey this season.  As a result, the reigning champion Rock Cats, coupled with an aggressive offseason, look well-positioned to take the division again this season to give themselves a fair chance to defend their ring.

Sunday, May 28, 2017

Offseason Preview: Free Agency, Part I

With just 24 games to go in Upper Deck’s 25th season, the end of the road is near.  For the 20 teams that don’t make the postseason, drawing up offseason plans will begin rather soon, or may already have begun.  In this post, we will discuss the top ten position players who will be free agents in this offseason’s class, not including player’s with contract options or potential non-tender candidates.


  1. Ivan Romero, SS: Romero has the glove to play almost anywhere on the field and a power bat that pairs well with his disciplined batting eye.  He carries a career .284/.356/.549 line to go with four All Star appearances, three Gold Gloves in right field, a Most Valuable Player award, and a World Series ring.  At 29, he is also among the youngest on this list.
  2. Will McRae, LF: McRae is one of the best pure hitters in the league, notching at least 190 hits in seven of his 11 seasons, and on pace to do so again this season.  He has six All Star appearances, three Silver Sluggers, and three Gold Gloves - one at first base and two in left field.  At just 33 and with 2,311 hits, McRae looks like a lock to eclipse the 3,000 hit milestone by the end of his next contract, depending on its duration.
  3. Zephyr Pavlov, CF: Pavlov has won three Silver Sluggers in center field, offering his teams one of the best bats at a premium position in the league.  Though not a Gold Glove caliber defender, he is not a liability in the field.  He has nearly 2,200 hits and 408 home runs and will be just 34 when next season begins.
  4. Mac Hunt, RF: Hunt is a slugger with a career .882 OPS and more than 300 bombs.  Though he may narrowly miss the mark this season, he has belted more than 30 home runs and driven in 95 or more runs in each of the past six seasons.  He also has arguably the most playoff experience of this bunch, having won three World Series rings with his current Albuquerque Arrows.
  5. Cecil Schlereth, 2B: Schlereth, currently 32, is a four-time All Star and has a robust career .878 OPS.  He’s a nice bat and an adequate defender at another premium position and has also spent substantial time at center in his career, although he carries just a .961 fielding percentage in the grass.  Like McRae, he is a pure hitter with a .307 career batting average, but a back injury in season 23 seems to have dampened his power production to some degree.
  6. Davey Torres, C: At just 29, Torres holds the career record for on-base percentage (.411) and holds the second spot in OPS (.975).  He’s a run producer at another premium position, and though he may be best suited for a DH role at some point, the perennial All Star can hold his own behind the dish.
  7. Willie Bennett, CF: Bennett offers one more look at a talented offensive player at a premium position.  He has a much stronger outfield arm than Pavlov, but is overall considerably weaker in the field and lacks Pavlov’s power.  He’s no slouch at the dish, though, with a .287/.348/.437 batting line and, at just 30, he is three years younger than Pavlov.
  8. Frank Bigley, 3B: Bigley is another versatile player, capable of being plugged in almost anywhere on the field and carrying a big stick while he does.  He doesn’t have the best bat in the class, but he’s got heart of the order pop.  He’s won four Gold Gloves - three at third base - and a Silver Slugger, but he will be 35 when he signs his next deal, meaning that his future contract will depend on the assessments of interested GMs with regard to how his skill set may change over the course of the deal.
  9. Al Tarraga, SS: Albuquerque’s second player on this list has never been a stellar defender at shortstop, but his fielding translates well almost everywhere on the field.  He is among the fastest, most talented baserunners in the league and has had an above average run at the dish.  He will be 33 when he signs his next deal.
  10. Fausto Siqueiros, RF: Siqueiros has the tools to be one of the better and more versatile players in the league, but he has sometimes struggled to put it all together, carrying a sub-.700 OPS over the past two seasons.  Nonetheless, he is a plus defender almost everywhere and has won two Gold Gloves in right field.


Honorable mentions:


What do you think some of these players will make on the open market? Feel free to comment with estimations of deal length and salary.

Friday, April 21, 2017

Upper Deck Franchise Rankings

UPPER DECK FRANCHISE RANKINGS


After season 24 this is what my Franchise rankings look like. Here is the detail behind the driving force of these rankings. Winning a world series is the best way to raise your franchise in these rankings as 27% of the weight is placed on post-season points. Winning a world series gets you 30 points, losing the world series gets you 15, losing in the LCS gets you 8, winning your division or simply making it to the 2nd round gets you 4 and losing in the wild card round gets you 2 points. The 2nd biggest factor is your rank is your All-Time W/L record as 23.2% of the weight is attributed to this. 1st place gets you 192 points and each place below 1st drops by 6 points so 2nd would be 186 and so on all the way down to 6 points for last. Individual awards come in next at 9.7%. MVP and Cy Young award winners fetch their team 4 points and Silver Slugger, Gold Glove, ROY and Fireman award winners each get 1 point per award. Next up come the annual rankings in Runs scored, ERA, Fielding % and net Fielding +/- plays. Each of these are worth 7.7%. Each season i ranked the teams from 1-32 in these categories and your statistic for each category is your franchise's average ranking in that category for all seasons combined. 1st place is rewarded with 64 points and each rank below drops down by 2 points so 2nd would be 62 points and last place would get 2 points. So take for example the Sultans have placed an average of 7.08 in  runs for all combined seasons. I then make an aggregate of these 4 categories and proceed to rank them again. This is achieved by summing your teams average place in Runs + ERA + Fielding % + Fielding +/-. I created this aggregate rank to balance out the rankings and rewarding the teams that play the game right. This aggregate ranking also is worth 7.7% in weight and lastly I included the HoF players. I attributed each HoF player to the cap he is wearing in his HoF bust, HoF'ers add 10 points to their respective franchise. I know its not perfect but this was the best way I could think of in creating these rankings. As we add more seasons the points given out will scale to keep the weights as close as we can to keep the balance. If you guys have some feedback I gladly welcome it.

So now that we got that out of the way you can see that the newly relocated Charlotte Pups(Louisville LandSharks) are the top net worth of the world.  They have been to an unprecedented 10 World Series and managed to take home 6 titles, thanks to the G.O.A.T Mr. Nomura.





LEGEND
Red Text = Leader
All Time - All Time W/L
PS - Playoff Berths
WC - Lost in Wild Card Rd - 2 points
2nd - Lost in 2nd Rd - 4 points
DIV - Division Champion Or Lost in 2nd Rd - 4 points
DCS - Lost in Division Championship Series - 8 points
LCS - Lost in League Championshop series Or lost in World Series - 15 points
WS -  Won World Series - 30 points
PSP - Total Post-Season Points
MVP - Total MVPs won - 4 points
CY - Total Cy Youngs won - 4 points
SS - Total Silver Sluggers won - 1 points
GG - Total Gold Glove Winners - 1 points
Fireman - Total Fireman of the year winners
ROY - Total Rookie of the Year winners
Awd Pts - Total Award Points
Runs - Average Place in Runs
ERA - Average Place in E.R.A
FLD % - Average Place in Fielding %
FLD +/-  - Average Place in Fielding +/- plays
HoF - Number of HoF players enshrined
Runs - Rank in avg runs ranking(64 points for first, 2 points for last)
ERA - Rank in avg ERA ranking(64 points for first, 2 points for last)
FLD % - Rank in avg Fielding % ranking(64 points for first, 2 points for last)
FLD +/-  - Rank in avg Fielding +/- plays ranking(64 points for first, 2 points for last)
Rank Points - Sum of all 4 categories ranked
Total Rank Points - Total Rank points

ALL TIME STANDINGS


LEGEND
PSW = Post Season Wines
PSL = Post Season Losses
WS = World Series Champions
LCS = League Championships
DCS = Division Series Championships
2nd = 2nd Round
WC = Wild Card Berths


Top Rankings for Awards, Post-Season numbers

Teams with longest playoff streaks(Active): 

Richmond Brewers - 10 years
Albuquerque Arrows - 7 years
Pittsburgh - 6 years
Monterey Sultans - 4 years
Scottsdale Artichokes - 3 years


Teams with the longest playoff drought(Active): 

Philadelphia Penn Quakers - 19 years
Jackson Generals - 10 years
Indianapolis Swigning Hoosier  - 9 years
Honolulu Lava - 8 years
New Orleans Crawdaddies - 7 years


Teams with longest playoff streaks: 

Charlotte Pups - 15 years(5-19)
Oklahoma City Cowboys - 15 years(5-19)
Monterey Sultans - 12 years(2-13)
Santa Cruz - 12 years(1-12)
Dover -  11 years(4-14)
Honolulu Lava - 11 years(6-16)
Richmond Brewers - 10 years(15-24)




Teams with the longest playoff drought: 
Las Vegas Desert Dogs - 19 years(1-19)
Philadelphia Penn Quakers - 19 years(6-24)
Tampa Bay Water Dogs - 19 years(1-19)
Fresno Grizzlies - 16 years(8-23)
Iowa City Small Bears - 15 years(9-23)
Albuquerque Arrows - 15 years(3-17)





Most MVPs: 
Charlotte Pups - 9
New Britain Rock Cats - 7
Baltimore Dry Docks - 5




Most Cy Youngs: 

New Britain Rock Cats - 7
Richmond Brewers - 5
Pittsborgh Pilots - 5


Most Silver Sluggers: 

Monterey Sultans - 31
Charlotte Pups - 30
Santa Cruz Mavericks 30
Oklahoma City Cowboys - 24
Chicago Old Style - 21

Most Gold Glove Winners: 

Las Vegas Desert Dogs - 27
New York Knights - 24
Sioux Falls Skywalkers - 24
Scranton Great Scotts 22
Pittsburgh Pilots - 19

Most Fireman Awards: 

Indianapolis Swinging Hoosiers - 6
Richmond Brewers - 4
7 tied - 3



Most Rookie Of The Year Winners: 

New Britain Rock Cats - 4
Oklahom City Cowboys - 3
Santa Cruz Mavericks - 3
Scranton Great Scotts - 3
Philadelphia Penn Quakers - 3

Most Post-season trips: 

Monterey Sultans - 18
Oklahoma City Cowboys - 17
Santa Cruz Mavericks - 16
Richmond Brewers - 16
Charlotte Pups - 15

Most Division Titles: 

Richmond Brewers - 15
Santa Cruz Mavericks - 14
Charlotte Pups - 12
Monterey Sultans - 11
New Britain Rock Cats - 10
Pittsburhg Pilots - 10
Chicago Old Style - 10

Most League Championships: 

Charlotte Pups - 10
New York Knights - 7
Oklahoma City Cowboys - 5
Monterey Sultans - 4
Albuquerque Arrows - 4

Most World Series: 

Charlotte Pups 6
New York Knights - 5
Oklahoma City Cowboys - 4
Albuquerque Arrows - 3
Monterey Sultans - 2
Santa Cruz Mavericks - 2
Honolulu Lava - 2